{
  "abstract": "The syndrome of ‘prognostic paralysis’ has been described in general practice settings as a feeling of being unable to act due to being very uncertain about the likely course of a patient’s illness. 1 This can be frustrating for patients and doctors alike and delay planning and treatment. However, three main illness trajectories of decline from progressive illness have been described from empirical research in the UK and USA in the last 20 years. These trajectories are (1) rapid decline (typically progressive cancer), (2) intermittent decline (typically with organ function) or (3) gradual decline from a low baseline (typically in older age, advanced neurological disease or dementia).2 3 In 2017 we noted that these three trajectories of declining physical health each have distinct and typical patterns of social, psychological and existential needs as the illness progresses.4",
  "authors": [
    {
      "affiliations": [
        "Palliative Medicine, Velindre University NHS Trust, Cardiff, Wales, UK",
        "Cardiff University School of Medicine, Cardiff, UK"
      ],
      "name": "Mark Taubert"
    },
    {
      "affiliations": [
        "Cardiff University Business School, Cardiff, Wales, UK"
      ],
      "name": "Thanos Goltsos"
    },
    {
      "affiliations": [
        "Centre for Population Health Sciences, The Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Primary Palliative Care Research Group, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK"
      ],
      "name": "Scott A Murray"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Science of forecasting: new methods to predict death",
  "uid": "1b03e3b4-a613-5f92-965d-2ca0d32ab024"
}